tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2216751897705338056.post8609187767858540224..comments2023-10-17T03:41:01.759-04:00Comments on reflexiones finales: Making Better Predictionsrussell1200http://www.blogger.com/profile/16258915475311426433noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2216751897705338056.post-55302770384777794492011-05-29T18:46:39.625-04:002011-05-29T18:46:39.625-04:00Not a bad analogy. I would only add that it is a p...Not a bad analogy. I would only add that it is a pod race that never ends and your lead/victory is only relevant to a given moment.<br /><br />Don't forget the tribesmen (or what ever they were) on the sidelines taking pot shots.russell1200https://www.blogger.com/profile/16258915475311426433noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2216751897705338056.post-73067226948661595312011-05-28T10:09:32.909-04:002011-05-28T10:09:32.909-04:00I always look at it as a car race. Each long term ...I always look at it as a car race. Each long term trend is a car like peak oil, economics, civil rights, etc. The black swans are hurricanes, nuclear reactors melting, terrorist bombs, etc. Some cars can throw out their own black swans while others are external.<br /><br />Hey I guess it's more of a "Starwars" pod race :)PioneerPreppyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09269878017447335944noreply@blogger.com